I think we pick up GA, AZ and NV
Lose PA
Hold OH, NC et al
Net +2
We’ll win NH, Hassan is HATED up there!
I think we pick up GA, AZ and NV
Lose PA
Hold OH, NC et al
Net +2
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I hope that you are under estimating. People who grocery shop, buy gasoline etc. don’t have to be economic scholars to know they are living in the worst economy, many, in their entire life time. No matter how many words Biden inc. tries to redefine. The economy is the number one issue in poll after poll after poll and everything that Biden inc. does makes it worse.
Right now that is looking like an overly optimistic scenario.
I should have known by the lack of stories on Red State recently showing Hershel Walker up by 2-3 points that the polling had turned. And it has. Warnock is leading in almost all polls now. It’ll probably get worse after they debate. Walker is a disaster. Georgia will now have two far left Senators until at least 2026, at which point demographics in the state will have moved further left.
Oz in PA is a disaster. Never thought I’d be thinking to myself “I wish Toomey would run again”.
Vance…I don’t know what he’s doing, other than losing. A state that hasn’t even been close the last two Presidential elections, with large margins for Trump, is on the verge of having two far-left Senators. I expected more of Vance. But so far he is a crap campaigner running a garbage campaign.
Masters will lose in Arizona. As with Georgia, the trends in that state aren’t good. Like Vance, Masters will struggle to fight off the Democrat-media tarring of him as a far-right, election-denying nut case.
The dirty machine Harry Reid installed in Nevada is still kicking. And it’s another state with bad demographic trends for the GOP.
I live in NC, and in the area I’m in I can say that Beasley adds run often in the early evening. I’ve yet to see one Budd commercial since he won the primary.
If that worthless NH Governor had run for Senate that might be a pickup, as he is apparently popular. But he didn’t, and so the Democrat incumbent is favored.
Winning the House is our best chance to lessen the damage Democrats will do for the next two and half years.