Posted on 08/04/2022 1:50:43 PM PDT by Signalman
The race for control of the U.S. Senate is heading toward the home stretch and after almost all the primaries have been held, both Republicans and Democrats have a case to be made that they have a good shot at ending up with a majority of the upper chamber.
Reading the tea leaves this election is especially difficult. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the battle for Senate control a tossup. Others think the Republicans have a one or two-seat edge.
Even in a “red wave” election, winning the Senate is going to be an uphill battle for Republicans. Of the 35 seats up for grabs, Republicans are defending 21 of them while Democrats are defending only 14 seats, all of which are in states that voted for President Joe Biden in 2020. This limits Republicans’ offensive opportunities.
But there are several incumbents seen as vulnerable for a variety of reasons. Raphael Warnock won his special election in what most observers still see as a red state — Georgia. Mark Kelly is also running for re-election in a very red state — Arizona. A loss in either or both of those states would give the GOP control.
And in Nevada, Catherine Cortez Masto will have a real battle on her hands to fend off the strong challenge of state AG Adam Laxalt
The GOP can afford to lose one of those two vulnerable seats. Otherwise, knocking off Democrats in states won by Joe Biden is going to be tough. Can Republicans do it while running so many candidates with so little experience?
(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
JD Vance is trailing Tim Ryan. Maybe he needs to spend more time in Cleveland instead of Israel.
Something very important to remember:
Most of these GOPe RINOs are not “Republicans”. Most of us (I’m 62) measure our Republicanism to the great Ronaldus Magnus.
There are two Corporations controlling politics and our Republic. They pander for our votes and then do what they want for the most part.
WE ARE THE REPUBLICANS! The GOPe is not. Vote accordingly.
I think we are on the cusp of a great awakening and restoration.
Remember what we knew in 2001 vs what we know now. The lights in rhe room are on.
“We’ll win NH, Hassan is HATED up there!”
NH is a narrowly “Red” state with crappy voter laws that allow same-day college student registrations. Kelly Ayotte’s loss to Hassan in 2016 was less than the number of same-day college student registrations.
If the stupid, woke out-of-state college kids stay in their dorms instead of same-day registering to vote, she will lose.
I’m hoping the increase in price of gas out-weighs the ignorant outrage caused by the overdue overturning of Roe vs. Wade.
It’s around this time before elections when the Left becomes their most corrupt.
It’s when they start saying RACES ARE TIGHT...OOOO IT’S GONNA BE A VERY CLOSE RACE...
Don’t believe it...they are setting us up for strategy they always use...THEY CHEAT!!!!
It bears repeating: Become a poll worker. Don't take your eyes off the bastards while the counting is happening.
Great advice.
“We’ll win NH, Hassan is HATED up there!”
From your lips to God’s ears ... I pray you are right. I despise that that POS. There are a lot of people running for the GOP US Senate nomination this year. Difficult to tell who is good and who is not.
The rats are about to relearn that it really is about the economy.
I think we pick up GA, AZ and NV
Lose PA
Hold OH, NC et al
Net +2
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I hope that you are under estimating. People who grocery shop, buy gasoline etc. don’t have to be economic scholars to know they are living in the worst economy, many, in their entire life time. No matter how many words Biden inc. tries to redefine. The economy is the number one issue in poll after poll after poll and everything that Biden inc. does makes it worse.
Right now that is looking like an overly optimistic scenario.
I should have known by the lack of stories on Red State recently showing Hershel Walker up by 2-3 points that the polling had turned. And it has. Warnock is leading in almost all polls now. It’ll probably get worse after they debate. Walker is a disaster. Georgia will now have two far left Senators until at least 2026, at which point demographics in the state will have moved further left.
Oz in PA is a disaster. Never thought I’d be thinking to myself “I wish Toomey would run again”.
Vance…I don’t know what he’s doing, other than losing. A state that hasn’t even been close the last two Presidential elections, with large margins for Trump, is on the verge of having two far-left Senators. I expected more of Vance. But so far he is a crap campaigner running a garbage campaign.
Masters will lose in Arizona. As with Georgia, the trends in that state aren’t good. Like Vance, Masters will struggle to fight off the Democrat-media tarring of him as a far-right, election-denying nut case.
The dirty machine Harry Reid installed in Nevada is still kicking. And it’s another state with bad demographic trends for the GOP.
I live in NC, and in the area I’m in I can say that Beasley adds run often in the early evening. I’ve yet to see one Budd commercial since he won the primary.
If that worthless NH Governor had run for Senate that might be a pickup, as he is apparently popular. But he didn’t, and so the Democrat incumbent is favored.
Winning the House is our best chance to lessen the damage Democrats will do for the next two and half years.
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