Their Navy seems to be over-rated just like the Army. As evidenced by them being in a current stalemate with a country 1/4 their population. (to be sure Western arms deliveries has something to do with that)
I was going to say they had her too close to land but on looking at a map she was closer to the center of the]at part of the Black Sea. I guess there is no safe distance in a relatively small water area with modern missiles.
Taking over is always harder than defending.
The russians are looking a lot like hussein's vaunted republican guard a few days after the start of Desert Storm.
To summarize the whole landscape of a ‘threat’...take whatever exists on paper, and multiply it by 50-percent, and you get the true threat situation.
Looking back at WW II...they only advanced against the Germans because they threw an enormous amount of manpower at the Germans, and Hitler was unprepared for the harsh winter. Beyond 1945....they were never on the same page as the US/NATO...never our equal.
If I were the Ukraine and wanted to really flip this...I’d take every single anti-ship missile possible, and try to sink the whole of the Black Sea fleet over the next ten days.