230 dead a day right now. Hospitalizations/deaths lag cases by 2-4 weeks, given a 30-day average cycle of infection to death. Figure 1-10% maybe? of the daily 340,000 cases are hospitalized, 1-10% of hospitalized to ICU daily, and 20% of ICU dead daily (Delta avg). With a variant that we can’t knock down as easily as we did Delta with monoclonals, does 1% hospitalized (or treated remotely from home) seem optimistic? (see my post above)
The problem that has arisen with the 2020 argument of “ Natural immunity has always been the solution,” is that these latest variants don’t necessarily convey immunity to anything. Delta doesn’t protect against BA.1, BA.1 can be caught more than once and BA.1 doesn’t prevent infection from BA.2.
Also to consider, a small percentage of recovered infected, even assyms or mild cases, will develop some sort of medical problem following recovery: psychiatric issues (brain fog/’roadrage’ type anger or abrupt mood swings, etc), circulatory, pulmonary, immune issues, etc. As the number of recovered increases, so does the number of individuals experiencing after-effects.
Here’s an article that discusses immune issues seen in Sweden following infection (presumably from Delta). Spoiler - these issues seem to abate after a year:
https://gizmodo.com/mild-covid-19-linked-to-increased-inflammation-in-cells-1848651100
Bottom line is I really don’t worry about it. They’re all sorts of things out there that can kill you and this is just one of them. Heck my wife and I nursed her sister back to health when she had covid fairly seriously a few months ago. We never even got it. We trust in the Lord and we eat carefully and take supplements. We’re doing just fine. Until the Lord decides it’s time to take us.
To court the upon sir paul, to live as Christ and to die is gain.