1. Russia has repeatedly stated through diplomatic channels that it is unacceptable for Ukraine to be admitted to NATO.
2. The US has exerted a policy, basically unchangedsince the 1940's, that has its aim to push Russia back territory in order to mitigate nuclear threat.
3. As part and parcel of this policy, Obama likely funded the Maiden protests (Same money as Occupy Wall Street) and then executed one of the most obvious coups is the history of coups. https://mate.substack.com/p/by-using-ukraine-to-fight-russia?s=r.
4. Russia has validly perceived that the US policy of receding their borders and conducting a coup in Ukraine as threatening.
5. The area named Ukraine since 1920 and Russia have been the object of some of the most massive and destructive land invasions over the past 1,000 years.
7. US entities have benefitted vastly from the coup and the ensuing corruption.
8. US policy has paid lip service to Ukraine moving out of the Russian orbit, while knowing that it would do nothing to put Ukraine in a military position to do so.
9. The Russians knew that US was giving only lip service to Ukrainian moves to the west.
10. Eastern and southern Ukraine were part of Russia (Novorossiya) for more than 300 years. Novorossiya contains developed manufacturing assets, access to the Black Sea and the largest proportion of Russian primary language speaking population and trading assets (Odessa and the mouth of the Dneiper downstream from Kiev)
11. Biden was the guy that had final say in approving the Maidan coup - having a war during his Presidency is an added bonus.
11. Since 2014, Russia and vastly decreased its dollar holdings and has increased its holdings in gold and other currencies, which gives it far more opportunity to defend its currency.
12. Economic sanctions will hasten trading for oil in Rubles and cut another chink in the US armor of the Doller being the world's reserve currency.
13. Economic sanctions will make it more likely that the Oligarchs will repatriate their assets to Russia.
14. The devaluation of the Ruble and the increase of prices for manufactured goods will provide an opportunity for investment inside of Russia in manufacturing assets. 15. A protracted war will increase oil prices and food prices (due in part to lack of fertilizer now) precipitously for western countries, while Russia will be prepared to survive.
Peace will be accepted on these terms: 1. Zelinski and Neo Nazi (Azov Battalion, etc.) and corruption hung around their necks are out. 2. Ukraine has a constitutional amendment that it is demilitarized nnd non-alignment with military alliances, specifically NATO (Compare Austria).
The claptrap from the US media and politicians - arm Ukraine, send jets and implement a no fly zone and short sighted and dangerous.
What I see is an opportunity to permanently damage RussiaâÂÂs military capability. They have a small and brittle economy based mostly on raw materials and commodities and weapons. They have a military too large for their economy. They have virtually no allies. I say make them use up their military assets. DoesnâÂÂt matter what parts of their arguments are valid and what parts are not. Blow up their stuff in Ukraine and make them send more stuff and keep doing it until they got no more stuff. And also isolate them from the world economy. If we do that, I donâÂÂt care if they get Ukraine. They wonâÂÂt be able to keep it. They will never recover.