The crazy thing is most FReepers have disregarded everything they have ever known about the effectiveness of Russian armor and its mechanized troops. They do this on the merits of blatantly obvious Ukrainian and western disinformation. Risky, dangerous business.
Well, that goes both ways. The Putinistas 1st assured us Russia wasn’t going to invade, then that Putin just wanted to secure area the separatists controlled, then it was only those entire provinces (Putin “confirmed”), then it was certain Ukraine would fall quickly...
The best indicator to me is that Kiev has not yet fallen, and the Ukes were ok with concluding the negotiation session yesterday without any urgency, it would seem, to resume quickly.
A big question for me is that 17 mile long Russian convoy headed to Kiev: Will the Ukes get enough Javelins in place in time to disrupt that convoy B4 it gets to Kiev, or will they let it enter the city or encircle it and then try to pick the Russians apart? Are the Russians willing to kill thousands of civilians? How is the newly reconstituted (but still very small) Ukrainian Air Force going to play into this? And survive long?
The Russians haven't been in a real tank battle since 1945 and those they won by sheer numbers.