Some of the States around Arkansas have been among the last to peak for new cases - but they seem to be breaking now (TN, MI). Texas and Tennessee, like Arkansas, seem to be quickly declining after their peaks - faster than most. Kentucky may have just cracked its peak (among the last).
It seems that with Omicron, the lag time between a change in new cases, and a corresponding change in hospitalizations, is significantly shorter than past waves - just two days for the National peaks. With new cases nosediving this week and next, you should see hospitalizations follow suit. New cases in Arkansas seem to already be down by half from their recent peak.
Another data point we use is how many people show up to our testing site. It’s down significantly this week.