… There are 483,228 active cases in the country with 2,438 patients hospitalized. Of those, 946 are in serious condition, 291 are critically ill, 213 are on ventilators and 18 are connected to ECMO machines. Currently, 162,853 Israelis are in quarantine, of whom 1,282 are doctors and 2,793 are nurses...
Does this make sense?? Using number provided, 483,228 active cases, I still ask WTH is the definition of a case? If the criteria is ONLY testing positive, then I think we all know the number is crap. In reality a case could be anything from a positive test to being on a ventilator on deaths door and ANYWHERE in between.
I digress. So with 483,228 active cases and ONLY 2438 of them hospitalized, that would appear to equate to a 0.5% chance of a case requiring a hospital (2438/483,228) In other words, a 99.5% chance that a case is relatively harmless.
Another way to look at it, (483,228 - 2438) means that 480,790 CASES are not in the hospital.
If someone is in the unfortunate 0.5% of the total cases, there is roughly a 58% chance that they would have a condition of serious or worse. All serious and worse hospital conditions divided by total in hospital(1450/2438) So if you are in the hospital, there is a 58% chance it’s serious. This is where we should focus on efforts for treatment. According to data provided 1450 Cases out of a total of 483,228 Cases are serious or worse.
At least in Israel from data provided, if you test positive and are now designated as a case, you have a 99.5% chance of NOT going to hospital. So in other words, stay home, have chicken soup and rest. In my unprofessional opinion, a Case should and ONLY be counted if an individual is actually in the hospital. All these other “Cases” do nothing more than scare the sheep with big numbers. I thought Little Dr. Mengele suggested we STOP counting Cases a while back. Flip-flopping again??