
The author created this spreadsheet based on the U.K. vaccine surveillance report series. He added two highlighted columns to show what the real efficacy rate of the COVID vaccines are, along with the rates for the unvaccinated. Actually, they look great at first glance! But here's his interpretation:
The real efficacy rate for hospitalization by vaccination status is calculated by the hospital admission number divided by the infection case number. For the Week 51 report, that's 1 - (4,027/268,654) = 0.98501, or 98.501%. That means that the COVID vaccines prevented more than 98 people being hospitalized out of 100 who were infected. The same can be said for the death rate, where only 1 person dies out of 100 people who were infected.
From the chart, we can also see that the unvaccinated were doing better, 99.152% and 99.796%, respectively, for Week 51, when omicron started to be dominant in the U.K. The same is true for Week 47 and Week 45, when the delta variant was dominant.
How can the unvaccinated do better than the vaccinated? In order to show the greatness of the COVID vaccines, they used the unadjusted rate per 100,000 people. There is a footnote under the above chart in the Week 51 report and every other report: "Comparing case rates among vaccinated and unvaccinated populations should not be used to estimate vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 infection." That is to say that "we deceived, so don't use those rates."
But most people are more concerned about the real effectiveness of those COVID vaccines in combatting the COVID pandemic, not artificial rates created for propaganda. By the way, many research reports have pointed out that the efficacy rate of the COVID vaccines is quickly reduced after being administered,
even dropping to negative numbers in three months after getting the third shot! It's therefore time to stop the vaccination mandate and all the nonsense about a "pandemic of the unvaccinated."
It is clear that we have to abolish “official” reports and demand equal public time for various independent reports.
It is irrational and illogical to pretend that by appointing persons as the “official” experts of any kind that they are magically endowed with the most superior expertise in the world in any area. They are not.
It is also illogical to think that “official” government “experts” will produce “expert” results that will contest “official” policies in their area of expertise. They have always and will always get their messaging in sync and that cannot be separated from the politics of the policies.
Better for the public to have public officials that do no more than point the public to multiple independent expert resources and for public policy to be based not on any one in-house “official” “expert” source, but from a consensus opinion derived from the multiple outside independent sources.
The data the author used, does not match the week 51 UK data he linked to. There were almost 3x as many vaccinated cases. This changes the data some.
In addition, given he is grouping all age groups together and if you are younger you are less likely to be harmed by Covid and are less likely to be vaccinated (Because of that) and vice versa. This is not a good apples to apples comparison.
In performing the same work but comparing age groups. The vaccine is clearly effective for older folks at > 60 definitely > 70.