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To: naturalman1975
said, "in contrast, the recorded data has been pretty accurate"

Can you tell me what data you're referring to?
Can i ask. Do you believe models are often wrong?

I'm asking this because a lot of people believe models are data. They make the models seem like data. You have to read the fine print.
68 posted on 11/22/2021 3:19:51 PM PST by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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To: Steve Van Doorn

Yes, I can - the data on infection and hospitalisation rates among the vaccinated and unvaccinated.

In Australia we are finding that vaccination reduces the likelihood of infection from COVID-19 and dramatically reduces the hospitilisation rate, indicating that vaccinated people are far less likely to become seriously ill even if infected.

This is recorded data based on actual measured infections.

In contrast, the models are predictions of what is supposed to have happened in future.

Many of these have been dramatically wrong throughout the pandemic - unfortunately some state governments are still relying on them (Western Australia, for example, seems tobe using a model that says they will have more infections and thirty times the death of the entire rest of the country if they ‘open up too soon’ completely ignoring the fact that their population is much smaller than that of other states and their vaccination rate is already pretty high which would keep the numbers down a lot anyway).


75 posted on 11/22/2021 3:27:27 PM PST by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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