The vaccines are marginally effective at provoking an immune response when administered. After all, that's why most people have some mild to moderate side-effects from the shot for several days - that's their immune systems responding.
So there is some level of protection against the virus. What "percent effectiveness" that is, is anyone's guess. There have been reasonably credible studies that pin it anywhere from around 50% to 95% and everywhere in between. With "effectiveness" definitions all over the map too, from "you won't get sick" to "you won't get as sick" or simply "you're less likely to end up hospitalized or dead."
There is mounting evidence that whatever immune response is triggered by the vaccines is effectively gone by 5 to 6 months post-vaccination. This is becoming more evident as we get to a time 5 or 6 months past when vaccinations really ramped up. There are a lot of people with their protection effectively gone. This is why the booster campaign is heating up.
The limited effectiveness, and more importantly the rapid degradation of that effectiveness over just a few months is why more and more cases are showing up in the vaccinated population. In fact we are starting to see rates of infection and resulting hospitalizations and deaths that are higher among the vaccinated segment than the rates are among the un-vaccinated.
Conspiracy minded folks or the merely cynical might take this as a sign the vaccines are actually harmful (intentionally or not). That may be so, we are still getting to the long term side effects stage. What isn't in question though is human nature. People who get the vax believe the hype and believe they are protected. It is human nature that they are going to be a little more lax in their protective and preventative measures. They are going to socialize more, social-distance less, mask-up less, maybe be not quite as careful about hygiene and hand washing etc. Meanwhile the un-vaxxed are more or less continuing to take the same precautions we always have. So the vaxxed, with what little protection they did have waning, engaging in more risky behaviors, get infected at higher rates.
It isn't a pandemic of the un-vaxxed. It is a study in human nature and a result of marginally effective vaccines with very short useful protection periods. With all the unknowns related to long term side effects it would be reckless, bordering on negligent to start down the path of giving hundreds of millions of people bi-annual shots of experimental drugs. The shots aren't that good, the virus is too agile. We're probably just going to have to let it run it's course until enough people build up natural immunity to effectively stop the spread. There's always going to be covid-19, we're never going to eradicate it. We are going to have to get to a point where your chances of getting it are slim because almost no-one has it because we all have some measure of immunity to it.
I disagree. The “long term side effects” won’t begin to be known for several years from now, and for decades after that, if the vaxxed live that long.
I have been vaccinated for the flu, tetanus, measles and shingles. They are all one-year protection or longer, in the case of tetanus, measles and shingles. Those are vaccines. I sometimes feel a little under the weather for perhaps a day after those shots, but no longer. The COVID jab is NOT a vaccine. You need a “booster” within a year of the original jab? Please!
I believe your analysis is pretty much on target. I have multiple relatives who received the “vax” and later were sick and positive with Covid. There is a reason it normally takes 10+ years to create and properly test a new vaccine. I think we are only just starting to see the potential long term effects of this non-vaccine.