Two people shot, not one, neither was an actor. He aimed at them. Given this evil man’s temper and drunkenness, it really makes the “accident” suspect.
It’s not suspect at all if Baldwin was pointing the gun at the camera because that is the scene they wanted to film.
But fire twice?
In a movie they do multiple shots from different angles. Often times it is an actor looking directly at the camera, with no one else in the shot.
It is absolutely believable he was “shooting” directly at the camera. The camera is run by the cinematographer. The director would be behind them, watching from the camera perspective.
That’s how it makes sense. Obviously, a live round in the chamber makes no sense.