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To: blueplum

My point was one the WHO made: The higher the quality of contact tracing, the lower the estimate of asymptomatic spread. The WHO noted that studies showed up to have of all spread were asymptomatic, but those were all low quality studies. That discussion was buried in a report I down loaded some time ago and I don’t want to try to dig it out.

This might be relevant:

“The “recent research” the study authors cite is a meta-analysis of 54 household COVID-19 transmission studies that observed 77,758 participants, which was posted as a pre-print this summer and published in December.

The text of the analysis is even more consequential than the CDC’s reference makes it seem: “Estimated mean household secondary attack rate from symptomatic index cases (18.0%; 95% CI, 14.2%-22.1%) was significantly higher than from asymptomatic or presymptomatic index cases (0.7%; 95% CI, 0%-4.9%; P < .001), although there were few studies in the latter group. These findings are consistent with other household studies28,70 reporting asymptomatic index cases as having limited role in household transmission” (emphasis added).

The 0.7 percent figure includes not just people who never show symptoms of COVID-19, but people who haven’t yet shown symptoms—two groups that have been alleged to be major factors driving the spread of the virus. This is a major data point often underplayed or even challenged in much media coverage of the virus.”

https://thefederalist.com/2021/02/24/in-report-affirming-nearly-no-transmission-in-schools-cdc-slips-in-shocking-data-about-asymptomatic-spread/


93 posted on 08/30/2021 7:21:11 AM PDT by Mr Rogers
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To: Mr Rogers; blueplum
posted as a pre-print this summer and published in December.

Ie., early data. Certainly not Delta, which seems to specialize in viral loads hundreds of times higher B4 symptoms show up.

94 posted on 08/30/2021 9:49:11 AM PDT by Paul R. (You know your pullets are dumb if they don't recognize a half Whopper as food!)
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