https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436521000372
The paper is about modeling and simulation of virus mutation with selection from vaccines and selection by reinfection. I think you are ignoring reinfection, people with natural immune responses from their first infection.
Thankyou for the link. I had ‘red flags’ at:
“SARS-CoV-2 has generated the most devastating pandemic in a century.” - obviously this is ridiculous.
Still trying to digest the exact point. If they are suggesting we should vaccinate 7 billion people in a year or else there will be spot mutations (escape) then the writers are irrational.
RNA is unstable and mutates - this is well known. Environmental pressure pushes microbes in a direction around what is pressuring it to survive.
It is obvious the ‘bugs’ will change in unvaccinated as well as ‘vaccinated’. The questions are what direction, how fast and what is causing it.
I’m leaning toward the side that the stress put on billions and billions of these viruses is pushed rapidly by the environment caused by vaccines.
Thanks again for the academic paper. Discussion has been lacking among scientists. (I am not a scientist - just one with an undergrad education in biology). I will not wax sophmoric and I appreciate differing views - which has been lacking on tv the last 18 months