Looks like the Republicans are in to split the vote.
There may be a lot of people are the ballot, but how many of them have any name recognition to draw away any substantial number of votes from Elder? Maybe Cox (who seemed to be the front runner before Larry stepped up) and Jenner, who is more than a novelty act and a diversion rather than a serious candidate. I think Larry’s chances are good. If he can fight the effort to keep him off the ballot and win, he won’t easily roll over and allow himself to be cheated. The world is much more aware of these things than they were before last November.