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To: BeauBo

hopefully deaths remain low. I know docs in several geographic areas who say their hospitalized patients are the younger unvaccinated crowd. Hopefully being younger their death rate will be lower


32 posted on 07/19/2021 7:07:36 PM PDT by Mom MD ( )
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To: Mom MD

“I know docs in several geographic areas who say their hospitalized patients are the younger unvaccinated crowd. Hopefully being younger their death rate will be lower.”

That has been the case in the heavily vaccinated UK, during their Delta wave.

Their cases rose twelvefold, but deaths only doubled.

They had more of their elderly still vulnerable than the US has, for two main reasons.

1. They had used a lot of AstraZeneca/Oxford vaccine, that is somewhat less effective than Pfizer or Moderna (particularly after only one dose, and particularly against Delta).

2. They had a much bigger gap between first dose and fully vaccinated - 16 or more weeks. One dose was strong protection against the original variant, but Delta played havoc in that gap.

So we might fare even better in the USA (Hopefully).

My concern in America is primarily for those 40 and older, unvaccinated, and who are obese. Possibly a few other co-morbidities.

Obesity seems to be the biggest risk factor, after age. I’m not sure how we compare with the UK for obesity, but I think that generally, it is particularly widespread in the USA.


33 posted on 07/19/2021 8:01:58 PM PDT by BeauBo
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