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“ correlation does not equal causation! Maybe cases and deaths spun down on their own like they did last year”

If that were the only cause, it would equally effect the vaccinated and the unvaccinated. The degree to which they are different, is the degree of protection that the vaccine provides. It is huge.

It is not just that consistent, large statistical effect that proves the vaccines’ effectiveness - it is also the very well understood; specific, observed and measurable direct mechanism of action that can be shown to cause that outcome. That is the well known immune system response. Specific antibodies are produced against the disease, that are observed and measured. T cell and B cell immune responses are observed and measured.

There is no logical leap between hypothesis and outcome, as there is with the many changing theories of how vaccines might cause some postulated mass casualty. Every step in the causative chain of vaccine effect in fighting disease is well known, and objectively and consistently observed.

On the other hand, proposed causative mechanisms for the vaccines to produce the hypothesized mass casualty are thrown out and discarded one after another. Cytokine Storm, genetic alteration, blood clotting, immune system down regulation, etc.,etc.. Theoretical mechanisms of action, that fail to materialize when observed and measured.

That is why these vaccine apocalypse theories all come back to promoting statistical correlations, while rotating through changing causative mechanisms du jour.

Correlation does not prove causation. Demonstrate a causative mechanism.

Pro Tip: If there was one, it would have been discovered long ago.

As Mrsmith has rightly pointed out, even things that only occur once in a hundred thousand times, have been identified and publicized, due to systematic surveillance and and analysis applied to these vaccines.

The system, refined over decades, works.

Demonstrate a causative mechanism. Don’t propose more hypotheticals - demonstrate the actual mechanism.