Let us see a lot more data—so far it is just arm waving.
ok, one more shot at it
First date picked for ‘no vaccine’. Jan date would reflect the start of vaccination of first responders/ critters jumping line and nursing homes but generally “no vaccine”. May date would be approx two months after vaccination opened for over 65 and June/July would be about two months after vaccination opened for under 65. The 20th of the month was just a random pick.
deaths:
April 20 2020 deaths 1811 7=day rolling average 2241 daily cases 26,228
Jan 20 2021 deaths 4179 7-day rolling average 3027 daily cases 57,617
May 20 2021 deaths 692 7-day rolling average 580 daily cases 30,379
Jun 21 2021 deaths 105 7-day rolling average 318 daily cases 16,274
Jul 15 2021 deaths 262 7-day roling average 265 daily cases 27,577
charts here:
https://usafacts.org/visualizations/coronavirus-covid-19-spread-map