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To: ransomnote

Examining a statistic called absolute risk reduction — the number of percentage points that an individual’s risk goes down if they do something “protective” — the two companies’ COVID vaccines barely make a dent at all, reducing someone’s risk of experiencing COVID symptoms (the clinical trials’ endpoint) by less than 1%.

Heard this discussion of Absolute vs Relative Risk reduction talked about on a Dark Horse podcast about a month ago. Most people have very little analytic skill or even the ability to understand basic probabilities, so you can easily wow them by throwing out a statement like ‘95% effective’.

People begin to parrot that phrase without even questioning it. In their head they thin it means they have reduced their risk of catching the virus by 95%. They haven’t.


44 posted on 07/11/2021 1:24:48 PM PDT by Flick Lives (“Today we celebrate the first glorious anniversary of the Information Purification Directives.”)
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To: Flick Lives

You have revealed the state of America’s education system. People have been dumbed down so badly that similar statistics will get them to vote for Marxist candidates.


63 posted on 07/11/2021 4:43:47 PM PDT by jonrick46 ( Leftnicks chase illusions of motherships at the end of the pier.)
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