well the area exposed by the surface of the earth is 49.25 million square miles The total area of the potential miss is πr2 or π(4.5 million miles squared) or 20,250,000,000 miles squared.
if you then divide the exposed surface area of the earth of 49.25 million square miles by 20.25 trillion miles squared by 4.925 million you get .0000243209877% or 1 in 4,111,675.
I can't get even get a "death boner" with sad, weak doom porn.
you get .0000243209877% or 1 in 4,111,675.
= = =
And still less odds than death by vax.