“ something else the scientists modeled”
Science is now computer models…
Think climate change, covid deaths, etc
Just trust science.
Today, if you attempt to measure a model's scientific merit, you're labeled a 'conspiracy theorists.' Or - and more commonly - the prognostic time frame of the model is so distant in the future, refuting or validating the model becomes impossible and instead, the model must be accepted as a matter of faith. In this regard, science has become a kind of religion that has coopted sciencey vernacular.
A favorite axiom of professors of statistics is: All models are wrong, but some can be useful. But, we're not even allow to question models today much less assert their accuracy or impugn their utilitarian value.