I do want to be accurate and I did indeed misconstrue your intent. So that's my fault! I can say that I've been closely watching these stats over the past year and I haven't seen anything altered since Biden took over. The numbers I've referenced here have been the same since last year when President Trump was in office.
"Yet my main objection is to the all-ages long term restrictions (such as requiring masks whenever and wherever one is outside in public here in MA, regards of being alone or playing sports) and irrational fearfulness that it promotes."
I share your objection here. The guidelines are silly in light of the scientific data we've had for nearly a year at this point. They've been absurdly slow to make any updates based on the actual data. No fomite transmission, nearly no outdoor transmission; update the guidelines to something that make actual sense.
"I do not see that for the whole period in the maze of tables, but presuming your figures are correct then you must deal with the conflicting stats cited by the Hopkins researcher."
I could paste the screenshot, but what you need to do is scroll down to the table, click the radio button for "Weekly Number of Deaths by Cause Group", then click the Update Dashboard button. From there, the various groups are displayed with 2020, 2021 (so far), and the previous 5 years for context.
"Except in stark contrast to the 1918 flu, relatively few few young died due to Covid-19, with the vast majority being the age and those with 2 or more comorbidities. And when over 70% of Americans are overweight or obese (over 40% the latter [https://www.cdc.gov/media/pressrel/r991026.htm]) and this condition is a primary factor relative to serious and fatal COVID-19 infections A CDC study (released 3.8–21) found about 78% of people that were hospitalized, needed a ventilator or died from Covid-19 were overweight or obese. [https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/08/covid-cdc-study-finds-roughly-78percent-of-people-hospitalized-were-overweight-or-obese.html?__source=sharebar%7Ctwitter&par=sharebar] Another study finds that more than 77 percent of 17,000 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the United States had excess weight or obesity.[https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.17.20156265v3] and another study found that people who didn’t exercise regularly prior to contracting COVID-19 were more likely to die,[https://bjsm.bmj.com/content/early/2021/04/07/bjsports-2021-104080] while some 42% of U.S. adults reported packing on undesired weight since the start of the pandemic.[https://dailycaller.com/2021/03/22/americans-packed-on-weight-pandemic/]"
Yes absolutely, but we can't just write off everyone who's fat, sick, or old (or all three), right? Still human life. Still worth protecting with reasonable precautions (I'm talking here about sensible guidelines to reduce transmission, vaccines, treatments, etc.)
"Meanwhile based upon a hard to find CDC estimate of the estimated total Covid infections in the US (Dec. 11) then the IFR for Covid figured out to be 0.33, and lower now, thank God."
Where are you seeing an updated IFR? By the figure in your link (114.5 million estimated infections against 589,222 current deaths that I'm grabbing from WoM), IFR is roughly 0.514%.
"Which again is based upon the CDC reports and analysis over the whole period (I presume), but this pertains to the population as a whole, not to specific groups or the increase in the latter months, while there are studies which indicate a rise in suicidal behavior in youths higher during COVID-19 closures than in 2019[https://www.aappublications.org/news/aapnewsmag/2020/12/16/pediatricssuicidestudy121620.full-text.pdf] and as the pandemic goes on. [https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-01042-z]"
I was surprised to see an overall decline in suicides in 2020 (I think a lot of people were), but even if you jacked that up 20%, you're talking an additional 10,000 deaths. A drop in the bucket compared to the over 500,000 excess deaths across last year.
Thanks for your reply, but let me just respond to this. I was using an online calculator here (Y is what % of X) in which the CDC (Dec. 11) figure of 91 Million Estimated Total Infections when there were about 300,000 Covid-assigned deaths (figures are rounded) translated into a IFR of 0.33. I do not know of any updated IFR, which seems to be a secret.
Am I doing calculations correct (embarrassed to ask)?
The most recent data I have on hand is that of the CFR. As of April 25, 2021, 12:48 GMT we had the figure of 585,880 Covid-assigned deaths out of 32,789,653 positive Covid-19 cases, which figures (Y is what % of X) to be a CFR of 1.79% (CFR=Case Fatality Rate
Note that according to John Hopkins (last week) there were over 97 countries with a higher CFR than the USA.
We could also figure the CMR Crude Morality Rate (Covid-assigned deaths as a % of the total pop.)