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To: Captain7seas
"Even without doing anything, this disease has a 99.991% chance of survival… as opposed to a standard viral flu season it’s 99.992%.” – Dr. Lee Merritt"

To believe that, you have to believe (1) everyone in the US has been significantly exposed and (2) only 30,000 people have died from COVID. Neither of those is plausible.

A better estimate for survival is to take 30 million cases, multiply by 2 to 5 depending on the estimate of hidden spread to get, at most, 50% of the US population exposed and having fought off the virus. The US had 3,328,580 deaths last year (preliminary numbers so could be a bit undercounted). The US had up to 2.9 million deaths in prior years (and slowly rising). That gives us about 400,000 excess deaths last year and according to a BU study 36% of those were due to deferred treatment and other lockdown-related causes. That leaves us with 256,000 COVID deaths from 165 million cases (tested and hidden) or 0.15% death rate or 99.85% survival at the very most.

13 posted on 03/16/2021 6:51:24 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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To: palmer

“99.85% survival at the very most.”

OMG! That’s not high enough. We must submit to a “vaccine” that is in reality highly experimental gene therapy that has had little to no human testing and now the top doctors and vaccine scientist are warning that there is going to be mass deaths from. That’s the ticket, line up!

https://www.bitchute.com/video/i5myRfG6xmfk/


15 posted on 03/16/2021 7:54:53 AM PDT by Captain7seas ( )
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To: palmer

That analysis does not take into account decreases in fatalities from other causes (flu, for example). Also, CDC is still stuck on roughly 83 million reported plus unreported cases. So...

I’d guess 300k excess deaths from 90 million infections = 99.67%. And, CDC is notoriously pretty low on things like actual fatalities until well after a year of occurrence.

Plus from what I’m seeing around me, there are quite a few people left with long term difficulties. That’s a problem in and of itself. Plus, if one recovered from COVID well enough to go home, and 7 months later the damage from COVID contributes to their fatality, despite no COVID disease present, what’s on the DC? Probably not COVID.

Bottom line is that there’s likely at least a 10% chance that COVID would put me, a reasonably healthy person in their mid-60’s, in a bad way for at least months, and early on I could unwittingly pass it on to someone close to me and more vulnerable. So, all the talk about overall survivability becomes rather irrelevant to my own actions and precautions.


27 posted on 03/17/2021 2:27:51 AM PDT by Paul R. (You know your pullets are dumb if they don't recognize a half Whopper as food!)
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