What’s the over/under on the number of Americans who will get one dose? Both doses? Anyone taking bets?
“What’s the over/under on the number of Americans who will get one dose? Both doses?”
Accounting is probably going to be imperfect, for settling any bets.
Guidance is also likely going to shift more than once, as we go along.
J&J has a study underway, to determine how much more effective they would be with a second (booster) shot.
Guidance is being reviewed, that perhaps those who have already had a confirmed case of COVID, only need one shot of the two shot vaccines.
There is also talk of potentially starting administering a third shot (in the Fall), at least for Moderna. Booster shots tweaked for the variants might be popular in the Fall, before the next Cold & Flu season (and for future Flu shot seasons, in perpetuity - they are in business to sell product, after all).
I think that the great majority will take the vaccines as recommended.
Initially, there was significant hesitancy to accept the new vaccines. About a third of adults surveyed once said that they were likely or definitely not going to take the vaccine. Older people were more likely to want the vaccine - over 90% of Nursing Home Residents.
Those early attitudes have already shifted significantly in favor of getting the vaccine, since more is known about actual results. The last I saw, it was a percentage in the teens who said that they likely or definitely would pass, and single digits for the definitely.