No, we’re on the down side of the bell curve that we’ve seen three times in the US and multiple times in every country around the world. We had a big jump during the holidays and that’s ending.
The vaccines will show a serious impact by around June with actual herd immunity (Rt < 1) sometime in July. Either way, the fat lady’s warming up to sing.
Last summer’s second wave started with at the low of 634 deaths on July 3rd and climbed to a high of 1,855 on July 30th. It was on October 11th (329 deaths) that the third wave began and by Jan 12, hit 4,512 deaths. That was 2.4 times what the high was in the previous wave. It is New Jersey and New York leading the nation in deaths/million population. I bet many moved out of those states for fear of getting infected. It may have brought outbreaks to new areas of the country.