Well, it’s a weekend again, so let’s hope the big drop is real.
Per Washington State Covid Study, admissions to hospital and cases are down over 10%. Looking at the graphs, we are on the downside of this current surge. Wonder if it is the last one now that is has gone through the midwest. With vaccination and theory that we are recording 1/8 cases by test, if there are 200,000 cases in a day, that means 1.6 million per day. We have been over 100,00 for 90 days. quick math reveals roughly 1M infections a day if we are to accept the stat that we are only getting 1/8 of the cases recoded. thats 90M cases in this surge. Added to the rest of the cases, that means 200M cases + which is 66%.
As per Fauci (I know he is a turd), this would indicate we are awfully close to herd. Vaccination should push us over — pandemics run between 18 and 24 months. The stars are aligning would suggest that this should be over by July.
btt