Good find but I believe there might be issues with comparing Provisional to the final count.
The 2020 count is a Provisional count the other is not.
I think there is a difference as Provisional data is not yet complete according to the bottom of the CDC page for 2020.
You are correct. There is a LOT of lag in the data.
Yes, but at least what we can see is that there is no surge in death. Even if 2020 ends up being higher, it is not likely to be in the six figures.