Long story AZ.
Most people vote by mail. Dems a lot!
The early “early vote” was quite Democratic. That has been counted and it is a base for Fox news decision.
Republicans wanted to vote in person, mostly on election day. Or they were dropping mail-ins at the poling places (I and all my family did, not trusting US mail). But, after the news went off, that Fontes is going to have too few polling stations in Republican areas, Republican were encouraged to vote early(er). So right before and on election day there was a huge drop off ballots vote Rep.= The late “early vote”
None of those votes have been tabulated yet!
These election day drop ins were always discouraged, because they were never counted on election day, but this time they turned to be quite big!
In addition of long lines for Republicans Nov 3, we got the sharpie gate on election day!
I do not know what will be the final result be (it will be close either way.) But calling AZ early was huge mistake!
Follow up to my long story - If you do not understand the AZ election, you could made the Fox news mistake.
What is counted is the “early” early vote and the election day vote (probably most of it is counted now). The “late” early vote is NOT!
That “late” early vote turned out to be a lot bigger than usual and it is a lot of more Red than usual, because the world got out of Fontes shenanigans! This is unique for this election. The late drop-ins also to some degree cannibalized the in-person vote Nov 3. which was expected to be more Republican and it is counted now.
So, if somebody just followed old voting trends, they really could miss this wave of drop-ins. And that’s why Ducey is optimistic!