If Nate Silver is predicting a Biden win, then Trump has it in the bag. Also, as far as I can tell, the polls aren’t factoring in what we now know to be a significant number of Democrats who are voting for Trump. Trump most certainly hasn’t lost any of his base from 2016, and is clearly expanding that base further with blacks, Hispanics, and blue collar whites. No way can that set of facts possibly equal a Biden win.
Tucker had Brett Baier on today and asked him to explain how the polls that had Biden miles ahead had suddenly tightened so much.
Baier looked decidedly uncomfortable. had no credible explanation.
Baier certainly wasn’t going to admit the polls were fake, an attempt to manufacture support for Biden.
Baier went on about AMAZING Dem early voting, then went on to say Dems worried about low early voting in some places.
I think Tucker set him up.
And/or they’ll tell pollsters they’re for Biden, but the enthusiasm gap prevents many of those from voting