Very difficult to poll states with precision, you really have to study each one and design it for the state. Most state polls are cookie cutter carbon copy polls.
Could be right or wildly wrong, polls watcher pros look for trends maintained in a poll over time, many are useless because they don’t poll enough for you to read the patterns
We are ALL walking in to defy Gretchen, why are you looking at polls a week out?
There is no early voting here, BTW.
My poll of local strippers says Trump.
I believe Trump wins Michigan by about 3-5 percent. I was in Macomb County last week and signs were literally 65:1, especially in northern parts of the county there is massive support for Trump. He will win Macomb County easily (he won 54-42 against Clinton). Oakland County will be closer to 50/50 and he’ll probably lose it slightly due to the blue blood vote who are squishy Romney types. Overall, he’s in great shape outstate and overall in Michigan. The models show early votes by mail are leaning Republican, too.
The three stooges in Lansing, wHitmer, nessel and benson are working really hard to sabotage the reelection of President Trump.
RCP poll average is complete nonsense as it’s skewed by completely fake, grossly outlier polls like FNC & NBC, yet does not include smaller, but more accurate polls like Big Data ...
Oh goody! Another poll, more pearl clutching.
Biden has no chance in Michigan. I’ve never seen support like this for anyone. BIG Trump signs everywhere. American flags everywhere. Trump/Pence signs everywhere. “My governor is an IDIOT” signs all over the place. Biden has no chance in Michigan.
If my statements are proven false, America is finished.
PREPARE accordingly.
Biden has no chance in Michigan.
Yeti’s are popular myths too...
Didn’t get that impression during the Trump rally...
One possible upside is that the lethargy of Biden supporters when it comes to getting out for his “rallies” is likely to carry over to election day trips to the polls.
RCP polling average is, by definition, a trailing indicator. It averages data from the past, so it can be days, if not weeks, behind any trends. I have NEVER found anyone who supports Governor Whitless, yet some polls have her above President Trump in approval by 60 to 40. That’s obviously fake news. Don’t believe ANY polling data from here in Michigan.
Anecdotes from Michigan (I’m not a resident of Michigan, but I’m near Detroit for work).
I Spoke with 3 Michiganders...
One guy is from northern MI (Gaylord): Thinks the Trump vote is NOT as strong as in 2016. He is not politically active; this is his general sense.
Two people from southern MI near Detroit (St. Clair): Think the Trump vote is WAY stronger than in 2016. They said in 2016, many sat-out or held their nose to vote for Trump. Now voters KNOW Trump has a Conservative record, & they are excited to vote Trump. These two guys are Union Workers and Former Democrats. That’s also their circle of friends. These two guys are politically active, and they’ve done door-knocking.
I also did a flag-waving on Sunday in a county that was 62.9% Trump, 31.5% Cankles (Hillary) in 2016.
At the flag-waving, we estimated 60-70% of cars honked/waved, gave thumbs-up, yelled support, etc. One couple driving by went and bought coffee for all of us. One guy stopped and gave me money. We had people in Company vehicles giving us honks/thumbs up. Police & Border Patrol gave us thumbs up or waves. Semi Truck drivers honked. Etc.
Let’s ring the alert for FR’s pearl-clutchers to run over to this thread and wring their hands. (Soros trolls are also invited.)
OMG! We’re all gonna die!!!