[a fool in paradise]

Tell the Second Wavers we are still in the first wave. This shutdown of the world has only postponed the inevitable

Dr Fauci says the US is still in the first wave of Covid
‘There’s no appetite whatsoever in this country for shutting down in any strict way, but there are certain public health measures that you could implement’

Justin Vallejo
New York
18 hours ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/anthony-fauci-cdc-covid19-pandemic-first-wave-case-numbers-b1349492.html.

[Little Ray]

Question: Has the overall death rage actually gone up any where, Chicom Flu or no?

[walkingdead]

Well look what we have here. Deaths for virus graph, showing us all what we already knew about these type of viruses through humanities existence. If left alone, you will typically get a roughly 4 week ramp up in deaths, followed by a roughly 4 week ramp back to normal.

And the powers that be understand this, which is why they had to move to “cases” instead of deaths, to keep the hysteria up. To keep their boot on the neck of freedom.

[ProtectOurFreedom]

I’ve wondered why the 1918 influenza attacked young people much more than older people (See Figure 1 above, “Recorded deaths by age in Montreal and Toronto”).

There was an article this week suggesting the MMR vaccine confers some cross-immunity to COVID. Prior to 1971, there were individual vaccines:
• Measles, introduced 1963
• Rubella, introduced 1969
• Mumps vaccine, introduced 196

Then the combined MMR vaccine was introduced in 1971 and became mandatory.

Obviously these individual and combined vaccines were not available in 1918. If they had been introduced 50 years earlier (same relative time as MMR introduced before COVID), would that have greatly diminished the young-person influenza death rate? Would that have made the 1918 curves look just like today’s COVID death-by-age curve?

Perhaps, if MMR had not been introduced, COVID death rates by ages today would look just like the 1918 influenza death rate by age group.

In Figure 1, if you mentally reduce the young person death rates to low values and expand the vertical scale, I think the curves would look a lot like today’s COVID curve.

So maybe the two diseases don’t intrinsically hit young people harder; maybe we are just seeing the effects of the existing MMR vaccine knocking down young person COVID death rates today. This, in turn, exaggerates the old person death rates (older people didn’t get the MMR vax and are generally more susceptible to disease).

Just my musing for the day.

[conservatism_IS_compassion]

Interesting that the data on age of Covid deaths is categorized in ten-year blocks. Also, BTW, that the data are from China.

It would be more interesting to categorize the data not in fixed age blocks but in fixed % blocks. The differences between the various categories of young people aren’t very exciting, but the difference between “70+” and “80+” is dramatic.

When you get to my age, you’ll be more interested in the difference between 72 and 74 yo, etc.

[urtax$@work]

The ‘Fatality Rate by Age’ graph is not convincing to me because it is in February 2020 while the disease was still China centric.