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To: ThinkingBuddha

Ok, a few #s.

2016 going into election day, Ds had a net lead of everything of 88,000

Trump won by 113,000.

Right now, the vote by mail is a D advantage of 594,111

Rs have an “In Person Early Vote” advantage of 278,907

So the ACTUAL D advantage right now is 315,204.
To have the same lead as on election day morning 2016, Ds are at an advantage of 227,204
To overcome Trump’s 2016 advantage they are at an advantage of . . . 114,204.

In short, we are about a day and a half of early voting to get to 2016 election evening. and we’re about 2.5 days away from getting to 2016 election morning. And we’re about 3 days from going into ED with a lead.


16 posted on 10/26/2020 9:54:53 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

If this math pertains to national popular vote, it’s sort of irrelevant, isn’t it?

Regardless, I’m confused by your 114k number and also where your 1.5 and 2.5 day projections are coming from. Not sure drawing a point-forward linear trend for early voting turnout is valid because of staggered EV openings and deadlines, not to mention arbitrary rules on when ballots must be postmarked/counted. Maybe your analysis is more nuanced than I’m giving it credit for? I do hope you’re right.


21 posted on 10/26/2020 10:07:38 AM PDT by SelfhatingMillennial
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To: LS
Larry, a question about the actual ballot count for states with VBM.

What is someone comes in and votes in my name. Would that cancel out my mail in ballot?

Or what if they mail in ballots for everyone in the county? Would they all be voided or canceled?

It may sound ridiculous but a double vote that cancels out a Trump vote helps the cheating Democrats.

How will one go about correcting a bad vote? Can we even see that we voted, in most states?
__________________

Wondering since I heard that in many (most?) precincts late votes (military, overseas) are not counted if it won't change the outcome of an election.

33 posted on 10/26/2020 11:00:52 AM PDT by texas booster (Join FreeRepublic's Folding@Home team (Team # 36120) Cure Alzheimer's!)
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