Trump can afford to lose 35 EVs and still win. Of PA, WI and MI, I think Trump will hold MI. What can change is if Trump loses the 3 states but takes MN, he then has to win NH. I think the biggest impact to the Republican Party was losing Virginia. That was 13 EVs which would have given Trump 319, meaning he could have lost the big 3 and MN would be irrelevant.
I really hate the numbers game.
I think he takes Michigan and Wisconsin
My personal opinion also said he will take Pennsylvania but it is comforting to know we dont really need it