[Political Junkie Too]

I'm aware of the state of polling. I was confused by your reliance on what looks like an outlier poll.

-PJ

[Cathi]

What you are calling outlier polls, as you put it, are the ones that had it right in 2016 and they are the ones that have it right this time, too.

The consensus polls for Collins are the polls which I would never “rely” on (because they have been consistently wrong) like

Quinnipiac -12;
NYT -5

....just like they were the consensus polls for Trump in 2016 and consistently wrong.

And they are the consensus polls for Trump this time, too.

Quinnipiac -10
NYT -9

As I said, polling is broken. Trump is not going to lose by 9-12 despite the fact that almost all the consensus polls say he will; and Collins is not going to lose by 5-12.