I heard about one “turnout model” in which they assumed that only about 70% of voters who selected PDJT in 2016 would do so again in 2020.
The turnout models are not accurate because they do not reflect major gains in GOP affiliation and the increase in poll avoidance by Trump supporters due to the violence directed against them. In addition, there is likely to be a fall off in liberal youth turnout due to higher ed campus closures caused by COVID.
Sounds like something the Crazy Left would invent.
In reality its probably closer to 125% as there were Cruz supporters and some religious conservatives who stayed home.
I do not know of any Trump 2016 voter who now supports Biden. I do know of many more Trump supports who openly support Trump and many more who are afraid to openly support Trump.
“I heard about one “turnout model” in which they assumed that only about 70% of voters who selected PDJT in 2016 would do so again in 2020.”
yeah i saw that too, and it’s complete nonsense ...