The IBD/TIPP and Economist internals are also fascinating. They portray massive proportions of Democrats claiming to have already voted. But while the mail-in vote totals are HUGE, they’re no way near the claims of the respondents. Day-of voting, according to these surveys, should run almost 3-1 in favor of Republicans.
Exactly. It’s crazy to assume a high Democrat turnout based on much higher than usual Democrat early voting. They’ve been fearmongering on all the MSM channels. Polls indicate Democrats are far more afraid of Covid than Republicans are. Democrat politicians have been urging their voters to vote by mail for months.
Ergo, the heavy Democrat vote by mail totals will just mean they are cannibalizing their in person voting - not that Democrats are going to turn out for Biden in large numbers.
I’d suggest everybody watch Steve Deace who has done a great job tearing apart the fake polls. People’s Pundit - particularly when Robert Barnes is on also does a really great job of breaking down the electorate and the polls in detail.