So you’re saying all the polls that went into this average had a zero margin of error? Might want to take a statistics course before posting about polls.
I think every poll has the GOP losing the election since 1984
So, you tell me the SD and MOE for N=18024.
if 4 polls have you down by 15 and 2 polls have you down by 3 how much are you actually down? You can’t just average polls. Nonsense. Don’t know who’s going to win but I know that approach doesn’t make sense and never has.
So youre saying all the polls that went into this average had a zero margin of error? Might want to take a statistics course before posting about polls.
+++++
Your concern about margin of error is certainly appropriate for a single poll and particularly one with a small sample size. But Real Clear Politics is averaging a fairly large number of these small sample size polls.
Im no statistics wiz but it seems to me that the margin of error for the RCP average is inherently much less than any single poll.