My take on the “feel” of the election is more 2004 than 1964. Bush was vilified for four years as Trump has been. Many polls favored Kerry, though though not to the degree Biden is running ahead right now. Nonetheless, other counterfactual data points favor Trump. The enthusiasm gap, “shy voters,” the question of whether people are better off now versus four years ago, etc. Plus rally attendance repeats the message sent four years ago.
As much as I’d like to see a landslide, I don’t think it’s going to happen. I expect a fairly narrow Trump victory. I’m predicting he takes Ohio, Iowa, Florida, and Wisconsin to eke out a win.
Agree, the momentum is with PT now.