God knows why, but the serology cult went off into left field very early in this process. No one rational has any idea why Case Fatality Rate got renamed Infection Fatality Rate, but that’s the direction the serology cult went.
Patients who test positive are a case. The test is the PCR. There is no guessing and extrapolating. It’s not rocket science.
CDC originally said two consecutive negative tests were required to declare the patient “RECOVERED”. That loosened recently. Now it is 2-3 weeks after a positive test is RECOVERED, provided there is no additional data. It could be sooner with additional data. But in general, cases that don’t die and aren’t in the hospital are RECOVERED based only on calendar now. It’s probably a legit change.
Since testing stabilized in numbers/availability, the case numbers mean more now than they did. The US is upticking cases, and death count per day is somewhat flat over the past week or so. Europe has had a far more severe case surge, including Sweden. Their case count looks about 1/2 of the max number of June and rising.
It’s about 6 months since the arrival in Europe. Immunity is fading.
>Europe has had a far more severe case surge, including Sweden. Their case count looks about 1/2 of the max number of June and rising.
France, UK, Russia, Belgium, Netherlands are at records. Germany highest since April 9 etc.
The US 7-day average deaths of 714 is now the lowest of the pandemic except post-1st-wave June 17 - July 10 which bottomed at 520 on July 5 and peaked again at 1178 on Aug 4. That is down 39.4% in the 2nd wave.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/