Your arithmetic is correct, there are clearly enough states without Pennsylvania, but all of these Midwestern states will tend to go together and, anyway, the odds lengthen considerably.
But your etiquette is far from correct, you should give a heads up to the person you mention in your reply, especially when your reply carries criticism of him.
76 posted on 10/06/2020 9:51:57 AM PDT by nathanbedford
(attack, repeat, attack! Bull Halsey)