I think the turnout will be high but with this mail in system and covid I think that all normal assumptions could be challenged in this election. They could reject hundreds of thousands of ballots for example.
I think the turnout will be high but with this mail in system and covid I think that all normal assumptions could be challenged in this election
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With a FREEPER handle like “Brilliant,” I’m not sure I can quibble with you! But I will. I have brought up the 2006 gubenatorial election in Maryland between the Republican incumbent Bob Erhlich and Democrat Martin O’Malley. I’m forgetting the reason why, but the Rs and state GOP decided to push R voters to vote by mail. They sent out absentee applications to every R in the state, put out 4 or 5 robo-calls encouraging Rs to vote by mail, etc. And we did. And we set a huge VBM record. And the Rs and Bob Ehrlich got CRUSHED that year. All we did was cannibalize our election day vote. Worst Republican turnout ever. I think that is what is happening right now. The Dems bombared their voters with pleas to VBM. They are not getting a bunch of new voters to vote—they are getting their “super-voters” to vote by mail. Think about this: They sent letters, put out robo-calls, etc. basically telling their supporters that voting in person is dangerous. The Democrat base is scared shit-less about the China Virus. Meanwhile, rural America and working-class Americans largely scoff at the China Virus.