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Ping. This is a really, really interesting article. Very much worth reading. Consider for your ping lists.

Considered, pinging.

As I've been saying, if you ain't sick, you ain't a case. Unless you're a flubro, then if you're breathing, or ever have drawn a breath, you are part of the denominator!

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

The false positive rate was 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

If a quarantine saves just one child's or one old fart’s life, it's worth it.

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Just as an aside, since hospitalization numbers are not readily available, I've been using the number of recovered plus the number of fatalities as a surrogate for clinically symptomatic cases.

This under the theory that no one who wasn't in a hospital is counted as "recovered", sub-clinical cases go home and recover on their own without being reported.

I get a HOSPITALIZED case fatality rate that's been pretty consistently hovering around 2%. By this author's figures that's an INFECTED case fatality rate of ≈0.2%

YMMV.