The Amazon debacle will hurt her; this area needed those jobs instead of the McJobs that are replacing our real ones. Much of the problem here stems from high taxes (based on a past economy) paying for a system unaffordable to people in the McJob economy; it is driving skilled young people out of these states, and the replacements are low- or unskilled trafficked immigrants.
It is unsustainable; more and more current revenues are paying for employees who retired decades ago, leaving little for current services.
Primaries are all about who has the best organization and can get their people to actually vote.
That makes primaries very unpredictable, completely impossible to poll correctly.
If a challenger gets the nuts and bolts done, they can oust one or more of these clowns.