[numberonepal]

What was the Economist's prediction at this time in the last cycle?

Good question. But meanwhile...

This train has no brakes.

[AZLiberty]

What was the Economist's prediction at this time in the last cycle?

I looked through some 2016 back issues, thanks to our local library's electronic subscription. I couldn't find a predication in mid-June, but by mid-July The Economist was quoting betting site predictions for Trump giving him a 30% chance -- which I'm sure is way higher than the polls were saying.