The fundamental mistake in that is to assume or believe there is a rule of law other that the outcome is a function of judicial whim.
Courts are huge part of the political resistance in this country.
You are spot on about the courts and resistance ....
There may be one or two judges who would like to ignore their own court’s precedent and that of the recent SCOTUS decision, but they are more fearful of what SCOTUS will say about them.
It is also possible that the SCOTUS will wait until the results of the July hearing, but that is unlikely.
Keep in mind that what happens during oral arguments rarely decides a case. The briefs determine the results. Powell and the Assistant AG had very good answers to all the questions.