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To: God luvs America

If from CNN - then even this number may be inflated. There is every reason to believe that though COVID-19 Wuhan virus was found present at the postmortem examination of the deceased, it was not the proximate cause of death, and may not even have been of such level to have caused the morbidity. But in a rush to exacerbate the impact of the plague, all these other deaths were conflated with the COVID-19 numbers, and the disease appeared to be much worse than it really is.

Oh, death as a direct result of a COVID-19 infection is a very real phenomenon, once it gets past the normal defenses of the body, and you are just as dead either way. But the defenses can be shored up if treatment is started quickly enough, before the disease has totally overwhelmed the natural resistance that is built into every human being virtually from birth.

This is where antibody treatments and the HCQ-zinc-arithromycin protocol come in, rushing to boost the natural body resistance to microbiol agents.


15 posted on 05/24/2020 3:10:47 PM PDT by alloysteel (Freedom is not a matter of life and death. It is much more serious than that..)
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To: alloysteel

“If from CNN - then even this number may be inflated. “
This CDC post is refuted by the article which the CDC cites as the basis for their “scenarios”.
The CDC scenarios are described here

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html .

This CDC article cites only one source for the mortality rate at the bottom of the article
*Khalili, M., Karamouzian, M., Nasiri, N., Javadi, S., Mirzazadeh, A., & Sharifi, H. (2020). Epidemiological Characteristics of COVID-19: A Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis. medRxiv.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.01.20050138v1.full.pdf
And this source says the mortality rate is 2%
Line 47 of the source-
“Pooled probability of COVID-19-related death was 0.02 (95% 45CI: 0.02, 0.03). “
Thus, the only source for the “scenarios”, which is based on a summary of dozens of articles, one of which summarizes the data on more than 58,000 Covid cases, states that the mortality rate is 2%.

Here is the email I received from Dr. Martin Meltzer at the CDC who was nice enough to respond to my question regarding the absurdly low mortality rate supposedly used by the CDC in the “scenarios”
If anyone reads this (?) ..possibly no one will... you can email Dr. Meltzer, he seemed very helpful.

Dear Mr. Johnson: Thank you for your e-mail.

My team is responsible for developing the COVID19Surge tool (at: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/COVIDSurge.html)

That tool helps public health officials plan and prepare for surges in demand for hospital based services due to COVID-19 relate illness.

The tool, COVID19Surge, does not calculate or use a case fatality rate. That is, the tool provides, under user-defined input values, estimates of COVID-19 related hospitalizations, ICU admits and number of patients requiring mechanical ventilation. The tool does not calculate deaths.

The author that you reference (at: https://www.conservativereview.com/news/horowitz-cdc-confirms-remarkably-low-coronavirus-death-rate-media/) appears to be discussing the planning scenarios available at: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html .

The planning scenarios include a number of variables that are not used/ needed for COVID19Surge.

To answer your question regarding the basis for the estimates in the planning scenarios (at: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html ) I will pass on your message to our Joint Information Center.

Thank you

Martin I. Meltzer, MS, Ph.D.
Senior Health Economist & Distinguished Consultant
Lead: Health Economics and Modeling Unit (HEMU)
CDC/NCEZID/DPEI
Mailstop H24-11 Ph: 404-639-7778
1600 Clifton Rd. Fax: 404-639-7880
Atlanta, GA 30329 e-mail: MMeltzer@cdc.gov


45 posted on 05/24/2020 6:26:55 PM PDT by brookwood (Obama said you could keep your plan - Sanders says higher taxes will improve the weather)
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