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To: Olog-hai
Scientific model predicts virus will continue its steady decline with NO second wave

I'm a professional, and I would never make such a prediction from a model. Anyone willing to put out such nonsense is playing politics, not applying math. We do not have enough data to say that there will be a second wave, and we do not have enough data to say there won't. We cannot make an informed prediction in any direction. All an honest statistician can do is learn from our mistakes in this first round - and especially learn not to try another nationwide or even statewide shutdown.

5 posted on 05/24/2020 3:32:17 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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To: Pollster1

“Scientific model predicts virus will continue its steady decline with NO second wave”

“I’m a professional, and I would never make such a prediction from a model.”

You must have missed the part about these being SCIENTIFIC models, not just normal models.


11 posted on 05/24/2020 6:11:23 AM PDT by suthener
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