My guess about Jeb is simply that a guess.
I think it will be a Republican to avoid the accusation of partisanship.
I think Jebs reaction at the funeral had to be reacting to a photo, it was so instantaneous. There was no reading involved. It was either one word or a photo. He physically blanched when he saw it.
I remember that reaction. I haven’t seen anyone float John Kerry’s name. Now he has been up to no good around the world and that would send a shockwave.