Dear Betty_Boop
Thanks for the news flash! This article is from 2 weeks ago and is filled with bullcrap about the mortality rate based on the Stanford ass-covering study from Bhattacharya and Benavid.
Are you Chinese or Russian?
NYC has 18,231 Covid deaths already which is .22% of the population of 8,400,000. This is the lowest possible infection mortality rate assuming every single person in NYC is infected.
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page
The recently completed study (May 1) of 150,000 New Yorkers found an infection rate of 20% in New York City. Therefore the total infected population of New York City is .20 * 8,400,000 = 1,680,000. This includes those infected but who show no symptoms.
Therefore the infection fatality rate for Covid19, based on over 18,231 fatalities, is 18,231 / 1,680,000 = 1.09%
The Santa Clara study was based on testing a population which had only a 1.5% infection rate, so false positives from the test could have made 15 times larger effect on the estimate of those infected.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/new-york-antibody-study-shows-1-in-5-have-been-infected-with-covid-19
The quoted death rate of .1% for seasonal flu is the number of deaths over the number of SYMPTOMATIC flu cases. Those without symptoms are not part of the denominator in that calculation (see CDC link below). It is estimated (see nhs.uk link below) that 75% of regular flu cases show no symptoms. This brings the infection fatality rate for regular flu from .1% to .025% if you count infected people instead of just symptomatic people. Covid19 therefore 44 times deadlier than the flu, you can distort the numbers however you want, you can believe whatever you want, but no one can make a plausible argument that Covid19 isnt at least 10 times deadlier than the seasonal flu, no matter how hard they try.
https://www.nhs.uk/news/medical-practice/three-quarters-of-people-with-flu-have-no-symptoms/
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html
Thanks for there update/analysis brookwood!