I cannot yet spot a new particular hot spot. It's pretty diffuse.
I am not posting these numbers to be alarmist, but to be realistic. WE NEED TO ACCEPT THIS THING AND MOVE ON.
United States CHINAVIRUS Confirmed Cases
Date New Total Linear Model
Cases Cases Since
Actual Actual 4/2/2020
3/14/2020 2,717
3/15/2020 761 3,478
3/16/2020 1,167 4,645
3/17/2020 1,717 6,362
3/18/2020 1,407 7,769
3/19/2020 5,911 13,680
3/20/2020 5,605 19,285
3/21/2020 7,462 26,747
3/22/2020 8,478 35,225
3/23/2020 11,107 46,332
3/24/2020 8,816 55,148
3/25/2020 13,870 69,018
3/26/2020 16,635 85,653
3/27/2020 19,363 105,016
3/28/2020 19,448 124,464
3/29/2020 17,892 142,356
3/30/2020 22,003 164,359
3/31/2020 25,151 189,510
4/1/2020 27,005 216,515
4/2/2020 28,698 245,213 245,213
4/3/2020 32,740 277,953 277,216
4/4/2020 34,123 312,076 309,219
4/5/2020 25,544 337,620 341,222
4/6/2020 30,576 368,196 373,225
4/7/2020 31,916 400,112 405,228
4/8/2020 32,020 432,132 437,231
4/9/2020 33,618 465,750 469,234
4/10/2020 35,551 501,301 501,237
4/11/2020 31,942 533,243 533,240
4/12/2020 27,289 560,532 565,243
4/13/2020 26,623 587,155 597,246
4/14/2020 26,937 614,092 629,249
4/15/2020 30,468 644,560 661,252
4/16/2020 35,221 679,781 693,255
4/17/2020 30,550 710,331 725,258
4/18/2020 29,521 739,852 757,261
4/19/2020 24,413 764,265 789,264
4/20/2020 28,648 792,913 821,267
4/21/2020 32,128 825,041 853,270
4/22/2020 24,051 849,092 885,273
4/23/2020 37,617 886,709 917,276
4/24/2020 38,329 925,038 949,279
4/25/2020 35,858 960,896 981,282
4/26/2020 26,426 987,322 1,013,285
4/27/2020 23,185 1,010,507 1,045,288
4/28/2020 25,258 1,035,765 1,077,291
4/29/2020 28,807 1,064,572 1,109,294
4/30/2020 30,638 1,095,210 1,141,297
5/1/2020 36,242 1,131,452 1,173,300
5/2/2020 . 1,205,303
5/3/2020 . 1,237,306
5/4/2020 . 1,269,309
5/5/2020 . 1,301,312
5/6/2020 . 1,333,315
5/7/2020 . 1,365,318
5/8/2020 . 1,397,321
5/9/2020 . 1,429,324
5/10/2020 . 1,461,327
5/11/2020 . 1,493,330
5/12/2020 . 1,525,333
5/13/2020 . 1,557,336
5/14/2020 . 1,589,339
5/15/2020 . 1,621,342
Dis, the more I think about this the more I opine that the steady linear number has to do with increased testing AND Chicom going on every death certificate in some locations.
I check your post on this every day. I don’t think we have information available to quantify my opinions. Perhaps somewhere in reports there’s an approximation of tests per day but I’d doubt accuracy on that. And I’m sure there’s no way to determine how the death certificate issue skews numbers.
But thinking as I do, it seems likely (but unprovable) to me that the linear growth of the number of cases probably represents a lesser percentage of positive test results.
Not sure how to state that clearly... but if 100 people tested Day 1 with 10 positive cases, 10%.
Day 2 - 200 people test with 10 positive its 5% positive... And that still leaves us with a steadily growing number of sick people and I anxiously await the break you’re looking for.
Just my minimal 2 cents, again. (I only ever have a couple of pennies to contribute at a time)
I am morbidly waiting to see what happens on a death certificate here soon. Have an aunt in hospice care, was diagnosed with stage 4 colon cancer in January. Hospice said this week that anybody who wants to visit better do it now, not much time left. We know she isn’t chicom positive. I’m eyeing this like a hawk.
I am not posting these numbers to be alarmist, but to be realistic. WE NEED TO ACCEPT THIS THING AND MOVE ON.
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Not disagreeing with your great work, what is missing is the total tests for each day for apples to apples. I.E. if 30,000 new cases per 100,000 tests early with limited testing vs. 30,000 new cases per 500,000 tests.
Increasing positives might actually be a downward trend (peak has passed) even in NY and hotspot areas if testing has greatly increased. Couple this with deaths from Covid with comparison of treatment protocols as well. For instance states where HCQ + Z-pack + Zinc vs. ?, and how early treatments began positive test vs hospitalization vs ICU vs Ventilator?
This info has peen hidden for a reason. Also pre- post social distance #s
Lots to compare and analyze, people are starting to think critically, hence standing up to totalitarianism all over the country. When middle class takes to the streets Politicians are standing on very thin ice that is cracking!
MAGA! WWG1WGA! Keep up the great work all you great FreeQs! We are still Winning Bigly! That snowball is picking up speed as it rolls downhill collecting DS Derps until smashing them to smithereens at the bottom!
MOAR POCORN CRIED THE FREEQ MASSES!
4/30/2020 30,638 1,095,210 1,141,297
5/1/2020 36,242 1,131,452 1,173,300
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bump from EOM Window dressing from hospital A.R. reports??
Just when I thought I couldn’t love Chanel Rion any more, I discover she has a talent for political cartoons:
https://www.chanelrion.com/homepage
Positivity rates for covid19 testing nationally are starting to decline as testing expands sharply and we move more testing away from hospitals and into community (where overall prevalence is generally lower) and as infection declines in some areas, especially hard hit New York. pic.twitter.com/I33MElYLuh
— Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD) May 1, 2020
https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1256249308694949889